Found this video presentation of Fibonacci tools via Afraid to Trade. The presentation is basic, but it did alert me to the fact that today's market rally came to a screeching halt at the 61.8% retracement level described in the video. Here's my annotated chart to make the point:
Will the Dow sell off next week? The Fibonacci retracement suggests that the Dow should pull back from today's close, but I have no idea, and I'm more interested in what the Russell 2000 is doing, since that's where my money is.
I worked up a chart of the Russell 2000, for comparison's sake, since I'm currently holding shares of TZA that took quite a shellacking today.
Click on the above chart to make it, and my comments, larger. The ~472 level on the R2K is where I'll be paying attention when trading resumes on Monday. Why? Because it's still the overhead resistance level from earlier this year, and to a lesser extent, 472 represents the 61.8% retracement from the early-November high.
09 April 2009
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